Bookie Beatdown — UFC Belgrade picks

Calls Medic a coin-flip fighter who is a defensive liability and says the price is far too short, so he takes the underdog, expecting Rodriguez to have the edge if the fight escapes the first round.

“cash at this number. So, yeah, again, I don't feel great about it because my guy don't feel great about it because my guy is 39 years old and just got out of is 39 years old and just got out of jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go with Daniel Rodriguez for this main with Daniel Rodriguez for this main event, being that the line is just way event, being that the line is just way off to me. off to me. >> Yeah. No, I mean, I'm not You're not >> Yeah.”

Blachowicz is 43 and a step slow, while Stirling is 28, 6'4" and still improving; expects Stirling to be quicker to the punch and win at range, but thinks Blachowicz is too durable to finish.

“out of there. Even if he's long in the tooth, everything like that, he's tooth, everything like that, he's slower. slower. Uh Sterling by decision would be the Uh Sterling by decision would be the official pick. But uh I'm just I feel official pick. But uh I'm just I feel like this fight like this fight on paper and everything that we kind of on paper and everything that we kind of said, like said, like everything points towards the 6'4 young, everything points towards the 6'4 young, improving k”

Takes Rakic on speed and leg kicks moving up to heavyweight, while flatly refusing to bet him at the price because of the chin, the cardio and Tybura's grappling.

“think we're kind of on the same page there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's your official pick? your official pick? >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to see him high up this week. going to see him high up this week. >> All right, moving on down. We've got >> All right, moving on down. We've got R”

Treats it as a 50/50 fight where Valentin is KO-or-bust with almost no volume, so he takes the home fighter on the grappling edge and the plus-money price.

“And so, he's KO or bust. Valentin is KO or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not loving it, so I got Dusko. loving it, so I got Dusko. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. Uh moving on down, if you want question Uh moving on down, if you want question marks, you want a high volatility fight, marks, you want a high volatility fight, >> I got >> I got >> you're in the right place here, cuz >> you're in the right place here, cuz Velasco Seppo,”

Lands on Cepo because Urbina is chinny and has been violently knocked out repeatedly, even though Cepo is defensively sloppy and easy to take down.

“knocked down. He might get hurt early. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my liking, so Seppo will get the win. But liking, so Seppo will get the win. But when you're betting a guy that's this when you're betting a guy that's this big of a favorite, I don't want him big of a favorite, I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him”

Klein is faster with better striking and a reach advantage, and Musayev's offensive wrestling is not good enough to change that. Calls it their best value play.

“better about that than I do about these guys that we've talked about who are guys that we've talked about who are minus three, minus four. Um but if you minus three, minus four. Um but if you want to improve it, Klein by decision. want to improve it, Klein by decision. And And then important to note, Klein's And And then important to note, Klein's 2 in shorter, but he has a 3 in reach 2 in shorter, but he has a 3 in reach advantage. So if the whole game is, advantage. So if the whole game is, yo”

Rates Oliveira a far better athlete with a stiff jab, reach and power, and sees Elliott as a generalist with takedown and striking-defence holes.

“know, trying to move away, try to mitigate some of the damage. And none of mitigate some of the damage. And none of that looks good for the judges. So, it's that looks good for the judges. So, it's Michael Oliveira for me. Michael Oliveira for me. >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh Bogdan Grad taking on Dennis Buzukja. Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come back on Buzukja plus 174. back on Buzukja ”

Grad's relentless pressure, high work rate and takedowns beat Buzukja, described as a generalist with no volume and no power to make Grad respect him.

“Bogdan Grad. You would better be a Michael Azzwell. You would better be Michael Azzwell. You would better be someone that can keep that volume up, someone that can keep that volume up, which Basziev is not. And outside of which Basziev is not. And outside of that, Grad gets the decision win. that, Grad gets the decision win. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. A lot a lot of Brad Grad stuff really A lot a lot of Brad Grad stuff really comes down to like him getting comes down to like him getting taked”