Reese vs Gall — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Scheduled · 31 Oct 2026
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan Moicano vs. Nolan · Middleweight · Preliminary Card · 3 rounds · Las Vegas, Nevada
Zachary
Reese
Record Record: 10-4-0
Wins
10
Losses
4
Draws
0
5KO/TKO
3Sub
2Dec

Red corner

10-4-0
Record
7-7-0
USA
Nationality
United States
32
Age
34
6′4″193 cm
Height — Reese leads
6′2″188 cm
77″196 cm
Reach — Reese leads
74″188 cm
4.47
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Reese leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.50
80%
Finish rateFinish % — Gall leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
86%
Mickey
Gall
Record Record: 7-7-0
Wins
7
Losses
7
Draws
0
0KO/TKO
6Sub
1Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+10)
10-4-0
Record
7-7-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Reese leads
0
3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Gall leads
6
4
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Reese leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.72
44%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Gall leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
50%
52%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Reese leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
38%
06:01
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:03
War Training Center
Team
Gracie New Jersey

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

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Analysts

Verified picks coming soon.

Matchup analysis

Analyst-authored matchup analysis; it is not an AI forecast or pick.

No AI forecast is included in this static view; the authored analysis is shown instead.

Case for Reese

Reese has finished eight of his 10 wins and gone the distance only three times in nine UFC appearances, but he enters on back-to-back losses: a split decision to Michel Pereira and a first-round TKO by Ryan Gandra in July. At 1.93 m, his 196 cm reach is 8 cm longer than Gall's, and his profile lists 4.47 significant strikes landed per minute. Can he keep a submission specialist on the outside and make him pay for every entry?

Case for Gall

Gall returns for his first fight since November 2024, when a knockout loss to Ramiz Brahimaj made it four straight defeats, after a medical issue forced him out of a September booking with Sedriques Dumas. All six of his finishes are rear-naked chokes, and the Gracie Jiu-Jitsu black belt's profile lists 1.58 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Can he find a takedown or scramble early enough to get to the back before Reese's striking takes over?

What to Watch

  • How sharp does Gall look after nearly two years out of the Octagon?
  • If Gall gets Reese down, can Reese, a jiu-jitsu brown belt who submitted Jackson McVey, scramble back up or reverse?
  • Does Reese press early with strikes, or keep the fight at range to stay away from Gall's rear-naked choke?

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Best available price

Zachary Reese
-295 at FanDuel
Mickey Gall
+265 at BetRivers

Highest American-odds quote among 3 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 27, 17:25 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Zachary Reese
-320 at BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada
Mickey Gall
+262 at BetOnline.ag

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

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