Klein vs Kropschot — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Scheduled · 31 Oct 2026
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan Moicano vs. Nolan · Middleweight · Preliminary Card · 3 rounds · Las Vegas, Nevada
Nick
Klein
Record Record: 6-3-0
Wins
6
Losses
3
Draws
0
2KO/TKO
3Sub
1Dec

Red corner

6-3-0
Record
9-3-0
United States
Nationality
United States
31
Age
31
6′1″185 cm
Height — Kropschot leads
6′3″191 cm
77″196 cm
Reach — Kropschot leads
79″201 cm
2.51
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Kropschot leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
7.93
83%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
Source pending
Joseph
Kropschot
Record Record: 9-3-0
Wins
9
Losses
3
Draws
0

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+10)
6-3-0
Record
9-3-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
2
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
—
3
Wins by submissionSub wins
—
3.41
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Klein leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.93
40%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Kropschot leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
63%
67%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Klein leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
50%
05:11
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
15:00
Pura Vida BJJ & MMA
Team
Skrappack and Team Santos

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

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Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

UFC Predict — CatBoost

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nick Klein

UFC Predict — CatBoost explicitly selects Nick Klein for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — Main + Market

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nick Klein

UFC Predict — Main + Market explicitly selects Nick Klein for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
FightChoice AI ensemble

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nick Klein

FightChoice explicitly selects Nick Klein; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.

View full track record (5 calls)
UFC Predict — Ensemble

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nick Klein

UFC Predict — Ensemble explicitly selects Nick Klein for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — LightGBM

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nick Klein

UFC Predict — LightGBM explicitly selects Nick Klein for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — XGBoost

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nick Klein

UFC Predict — XGBoost explicitly selects Nick Klein for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — Logistic Core

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot

UFC Predict — Logistic Core explicitly selects Joseph Kropschot for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot

Combat Edge Model's frozen v0.8-2026-10-04 forecast selects Joseph Kropschot at 56%; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
MMA Intel

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot

MMA Intel explicitly selects Joseph Kropschot; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot · KO/TKO

MMA.SOCIAL's UFC forecast selects Joseph Kropschot by ko/tko; no round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot · KO/TKO · Round 2

Chris Schweppe picks Joseph Kropschot by second-round knockout over Nick Klein.

“Kropschot by 2nd round knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot

FIGHT//AI selects Joseph Kropschot; the event forecast states a winner probability but no method or round.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)
Moirai model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot

Moirai explicitly selects Joseph Kropschot; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record builds as we verify their past calls.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
MMA Data Analytics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joseph Kropschot

MMA Data Analytics names Joseph Kropschot as its analyst favorite over Nick Klein.

“Analyst favorite”

Track record builds as we verify their past calls.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record

Analyst picks: UFC Predict — Logistic Core picks Kropschot; UFC Predict — CatBoost picks Klein; UFC Predict — Main + Market picks Klein; Combat Edge Model picks Kropschot; FightChoice AI ensemble picks Klein; MMA Intel picks Kropschot; UFC Predict — Ensemble picks Klein; UFC Predict — LightGBM picks Klein; UFC Predict — XGBoost picks Klein; MMA.SOCIAL picks Kropschot; Chris Schweppe picks Kropschot; FIGHT//AI picks Kropschot; Moirai model picks Kropschot; MMA Data Analytics picks Kropschot.

2 of 14 see a finish — 2 by KO/TKO.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Matchup analysis

Analyst-authored matchup analysis; it is not an AI forecast or pick.

No AI forecast is included in this static view; the authored analysis is shown instead.

Case for Klein

UFC lists Nick Klein at 6-3-0 (W-L-D). The retained fighter profile records 2.51 significant strikes landed per minute and 5.79 takedowns per 15 minutes. Klein's 5.79 takedowns per 15 minutes can interrupt Kropschot's 7.93 striking rate.

Case for Kropschot

The captured UFC athlete-page header displays 1-0-0 (W-L-D), but the page has no named previous-result row, so the header is not treated as his complete professional record or as a latest-opponent claim. His separately qualified professional record is 9-3-0 from an official UFC career statement; no prior opponent, date, or method is inferred from the missing athlete-page card. The retained fighter profile records 7.93 significant strikes landed per minute and 3 submission attempts per 15 minutes, giving this comparison its sourced striking and transition measures.

What to Watch

  • Can Klein's 5.79 takedowns per 15 minutes interrupt Kropschot's 7.93 striking rate?
  • Can Kropschot's 3.00 submission attempts per 15 minutes shape Klein's entries?
  • Who finds the first clean route from striking to grappling?

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Best available price

Nick Klein
+260 at BetMGM, DraftKings
Joseph Kropschot
-325 at BetMGM, DraftKings

Highest American-odds quote among 3 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 27, 17:25 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Nick Klein
+260 at Bovada
Joseph Kropschot
-300 at BetOnline.ag

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET