Lebosnoyani vs Hasanov — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Scheduled · 31 Oct 2026
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan Moicano vs. Nolan · Welterweight · Main Card · 3 rounds · Las Vegas, Nevada
Jean-Paul
Lebosnoyani
Record Record: 11-2-0
Wins
11
Losses
2
Draws
0
3KO/TKO
5Sub
3Dec

Red corner

11-2-0
Record
6-0-0
United States
Nationality
Azerbaijan
27
Age
31
5′11″180 cm
Height — Hasanov leads
6′0″183 cm
72″183 cm
Reach — Hasanov leads
74″188 cm
4.14
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Lebosnoyani leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1.4
73%
Finish rateFinish % — Lebosnoyani leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
67%
Farman
Hasanov
Record Record: 6-0-0
Wins
6
Losses
0
Draws
0
4KO/TKO
0Sub
2Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+10)
11-2-0
Record
6-0-0
5-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5-0 last 5
Switch
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
3
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Hasanov leads
4
5
Wins by submissionSub wins — Lebosnoyani leads
0
4.05
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Hasanov leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1
57%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Hasanov leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
71%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
—
10:23
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
15:00
UFC Performance Institute
Team
American Top Team

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

Videos

Event coverage and the pre-fight lead-up.

Event coverage
Historical career context — UFC Baku
Fighter interview▶ UFC Baku: Farman Hasanov — Words After the Fight

Browse all videos for this fight

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

UFC Predict — Logistic Core
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

UFC Predict — Logistic Core explicitly selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — Main + Market
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

UFC Predict — Main + Market explicitly selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
MMA Intel
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

MMA Intel explicitly selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — XGBoost
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

UFC Predict — XGBoost explicitly selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Dec

MMA.SOCIAL's UFC forecast selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by decision; no round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Dec

Chris Schweppe picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by decision over Farman Hasanov.

“Lebosnoyani by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
FIGHT//AI
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

FIGHT//AI selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani; the event forecast states a winner probability but no method or round.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)
Moirai model
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Moirai explicitly selects Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record builds as we verify their past calls.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
MMA Data Analytics
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

MMA Data Analytics names Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani as its analyst favorite over Farman Hasanov.

“Analyst favorite”

Track record builds as we verify their past calls.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farman Hasanov

FightIQ's early read selects Farman Hasanov (59%); it publishes a winner probability only, with no method or round. The receipt snapshot is marked as of 2026-10-18 18:05 UTC.

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks, 59 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
UFC Predict — CatBoost
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farman Hasanov

UFC Predict — CatBoost explicitly selects Farman Hasanov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Combat Edge Model
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farman Hasanov

Combat Edge Model's frozen v0.8-2026-10-04 forecast selects Farman Hasanov at 59%; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
FightChoice AI ensemble
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farman Hasanov

FightChoice explicitly selects Farman Hasanov; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.

View full track record (5 calls)
UFC Predict — Ensemble
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farman Hasanov

UFC Predict — Ensemble explicitly selects Farman Hasanov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — LightGBM
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farman Hasanov

UFC Predict — LightGBM explicitly selects Farman Hasanov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)

Analyst picks: UFC Predict — Logistic Core picks Lebosnoyani; FightIQ picks Hasanov; UFC Predict — CatBoost picks Hasanov; UFC Predict — Main + Market picks Lebosnoyani; Combat Edge Model picks Hasanov; FightChoice AI ensemble picks Hasanov; MMA Intel picks Lebosnoyani; UFC Predict — Ensemble picks Hasanov; UFC Predict — LightGBM picks Hasanov; UFC Predict — XGBoost picks Lebosnoyani; MMA.SOCIAL picks Lebosnoyani; Chris Schweppe picks Lebosnoyani; FIGHT//AI picks Lebosnoyani; Moirai model picks Lebosnoyani; MMA Data Analytics picks Lebosnoyani.

2 of 15 see it go the distance.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Matchup analysis

Analyst-authored matchup analysis; it is not an AI forecast or pick.

No AI forecast is included in this static view; the authored analysis is shown instead.

Case for Lebosnoyani

Lebosnoyani has 2026 UFC decision wins over Seokhyeon Ko and Phil Rowe, and his official UFC Q&A identifies him as a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt. If Hasanov brings the fight into wrestling exchanges, can Lebosnoyani use that grappling background to work through positions and look for submission opportunities?

Case for Hasanov

Hasanov won a unanimous decision over Eric Nolan on June 27, 2026. His official UFC Q&A describes his freestyle-wrestling background and names the head kick and triangle choke among his favorite techniques. Can he turn his wrestling background into entries, or test those named techniques as the fight moves between grappling and range?

What to Watch

  • Does Hasanov choose a wrestling entry, and can Lebosnoyani defend it and recover position?
  • If an entry becomes a scramble, does Hasanov threaten his stated triangle choke, or can Lebosnoyani reverse position?
  • What setup does Hasanov use for his stated head kick, and how does Lebosnoyani respond at range?

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Best available price

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
-290 at FanDuel
Farman Hasanov
+240 at BetMGM, DraftKings

Highest American-odds quote among 4 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 27, 17:25 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
-280 at Bovada
Farman Hasanov
+234 at BetUS

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Independent fan-made fight preview. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.