Sezinando vs Berggren — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
Sezinando
- Wins
- 9
- Losses
- 2
- Draws
- 0
Red corner
- 9-2-0
- Record
- 8-4-0
- Brazil
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Source pending
- Age
- 26
Berggren
- Wins
- 8
- Losses
- 4
- Draws
- 0
Blue corner
View full tale of the tape & radar (+10)
- 9-2-0
- Record
- 8-4-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 67%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 04:27
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 06:35
- Lions MMA
- Team
- Renyi
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Predictions summary
Fan Picks
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Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
UFC Predict — Logistic Core explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
UFC Predict — CatBoost explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.3% 9 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
UFC Predict — Main + Market explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.3% 9 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
FightChoice explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando; the source does not state a method or round.
Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
MMA Intel explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando; the source does not state a method or round.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
UFC Predict — Ensemble explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
UFC Predict — LightGBM explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
UFC Predict — XGBoost explicitly selects Rodrigo Sezinando for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando · Dec
MMA.SOCIAL's UFC forecast selects Rodrigo Sezinando by decision; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando · Dec
Chris Schweppe picks Rodrigo Sezinando by decision over Theodor Berggren; the article misspells Sezinando in its heading.
“Sezinando by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rodrigo Sezinando
MMA Data Analytics names Rodrigo Sezinando as its analyst favorite over Theodor Berggren.
“Analyst favorite”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record
No qualifying picks
View full track recordCurrent pick evidence
Picked: Theodor Berggren
FightIQ's early read selects Theodor Berggren (66%); it publishes a winner probability only, with no method or round. The receipt snapshot is marked as of 2026-10-18 18:05 UTC.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks, 59 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Theodor Berggren
Combat Edge Model's frozen v0.8-2026-10-04 forecast selects Theodor Berggren at 81%; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Theodor Berggren
FIGHT//AI selects Theodor Berggren; the event forecast states a winner probability but no method or round.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Current pick evidence
Picked: Theodor Berggren
Moirai explicitly selects Theodor Berggren; the source does not state a method or round.
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record
No qualifying picks
View full track recordAnalyst picks: UFC Predict — Logistic Core picks Sezinando; FightIQ picks Berggren; UFC Predict — CatBoost picks Sezinando; UFC Predict — Main + Market picks Sezinando; Combat Edge Model picks Berggren; FightChoice AI ensemble picks Sezinando; MMA Intel picks Sezinando; UFC Predict — Ensemble picks Sezinando; UFC Predict — LightGBM picks Sezinando; UFC Predict — XGBoost picks Sezinando; MMA.SOCIAL picks Sezinando; Chris Schweppe picks Sezinando; FIGHT//AI picks Berggren; Moirai model picks Berggren; MMA Data Analytics picks Sezinando.
2 of 15 see it go the distance.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Matchup analysis
Analyst-authored matchup analysis; it is not an AI forecast or pick.
No AI forecast is included in this static view; the authored analysis is shown instead.
Case for Sezinando
Sezinando's UFC profile lists a 9-2 record and 2.25 significant strikes landed per minute. That documented volume gives him a route to build offense if he can keep the bout in open exchanges.
Case for Berggren
Berggren's UFC profile lists an 8-4 record and 3.49 significant strikes landed per minute. His profile also records 10.78 significant strikes absorbed per minute, making defensive adjustments and range management central questions.
What to Watch
- Can Sezinando maintain his listed striking pace?
- How does Berggren reduce clean exchanges?
- Which fighter wins the first extended sequence at range?
Market Odds
No current consensus line is saved on this page.
Odds movement
Best available price
- Rodrigo Sezinando
- -170 at DraftKings
- Theodor Berggren
- +150 at BetMGM
Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
- Rodrigo Sezinando
- -169 at BetOnline.ag
- Theodor Berggren
- +147 at Bovada
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