JakeGerberMMA — UFC Sacramento full-card predictions

Sees Dyer walking Reed down, blasting leg kicks, attacking the body and bringing combinations around the guard until Reed melts along the fence and the referee steps in. Rates Reed as technical but not dangerous enough to trouble Dyer, and says Dyer's ground game concerns are overstated -- she could equally outstrike Reed comfortably over fifteen minutes.

“Give me Chanel Dyer by round two knockout.”

Frames it as either McVey by TKO or Schultz by submission, and leans McVey on improved takedown defence, his clinch game and his range striking. Expects body work to pay off against an opponent who has slowed in previous fights, then follow-up ground and pound. Openly conflicted -- says he could see it going either way and that the fight is stressing him out.

“I'll give the slight lean to Jackson McVey by um by round one TKO.”

Calls it competitive and explicitly warns not to count Dorsainvil out, rating him as genuinely good and deserving another opportunity even in defeat. Leans Young because Dorsainvil does not always use his reach well and crashes into the pocket, which should let Young land counter combinations and break him down as the fight goes.

“I'm going to say 2928 split decision. Gage Young gets it done in a close one.”

Allows Kuse could pull something off if he can eat the big shots moving forward, and grants him sneaky kicks and a decent ground game. Sides with Barbosa on power against solid opposition, expecting a big right hand to sneak around the guard at some point in the first or second round for yet another knockout.

“but I got to go Barbosa, man. All it takes is one shot.”

Reads it as competitive and credits Haqparast's movement and high guard, suggesting he would be wise to work the body. Leans Padilla on forward pressure, with elbows and knees the deciding weapons -- expecting accumulated damage to edge it on the cards. Notes he has repeatedly backed Padilla as an underdog.

“So slight lean for me towards Taco Padilla.”

Sees Gaziev's early power and clinch pressure as the main danger, but expects Nzechukwu's front kicks, reach and southpaw striking to drain Gaziev's gas tank. Gives Nzechukwu rounds two and three after Gaziev fades and takes the decision.

“Give me Kennedy by decision.”

Concedes a route for Emmers -- movement, sticking and moving, catching Douglas coming in, mixing in takedowns to win minutes and drain him -- and says he likes Emmers and rates him game. Picks against him anyway on Douglas's power, citing what he did to Juicy J and to Camtigo on DWCS, and calls it simply a bad matchup.

“So, I feel like he lands on Emmers and puts them out pretty bad in the very first round.”

Rates Chatman's boxing as solid and actually decent, then calls it a bad matchup: beating Wint requires surviving early danger to drag the fight long. Leans on Wint's athletic advantage -- which he ranks above much of the heavyweight division -- plus one-shot power, a good ground game and the takedown defence shown against Matt Adams on the Contender Series. Discloses he is a fan from Wint's FAU football days and is rooting for him.

“Round one, knockout.”

Credits Judice's movement, ring craft and improved takedown defence, and judges Chaves's ground game not good enough to trouble her -- noting Juliana Miller is far better on the ground than Chaves and still could not exploit it. Expects kicks to the body or a set-up high kick to end it.

“Give me Carly Judice by second round knockout.”

Calls it a good, competitive fight and rates Mederos durable, but gives Jones the edge as the better grappler with more power. Expects Jones to drain Mederos's gas tank, then open up on the feet -- walking him down and advancing forward in a way that scores well with the judges. Scores it 29-28.

“It's going to be Mason Jones via a dog fight. I think he gets it done by a competitive decision.”

Expects Dolidze to struggle in the clinch, de Ridder to tap away with knees to the body and take him down, then slide into a dominant position as Dolidze slows later in the fight and finish with an arm triangle.

“RDR gets him down and ends up finding a submission. I like RDR at 205 a lot.”

Takes Spivac as the underdog, rating him a well-rounded heavyweight with sharp striking and calling the jab money against Delija. Expects him to outscore Petrino with the jab, right hand and leg kicks provided he avoids a big shot, and notes Petrino is very hittable. Adds that Spivac has the grappling fallback Petrino lacks if the striking goes badly.

“Give me Sergey here.”

Reads it as Rodrigues early or Hernandez late, and takes Rodrigues on the more patient approach: right hands and knees to the body until Hernandez slows and backs away, with Rodrigues' ground game good enough to stall the early takedowns.

“But I'm going to give the edge to Robocop with his more patient approach.”