Analyst Rankings

Ranked by the FightCardIQ Score: how often an analyst called the winner, plus credit for the method and round calls that landed. How the Score works.

1 of 18 analysts sit far enough below the leader that the gap is unlikely to be chance. For everyone else the difference is within the margin of the sample.

1 TheWeasle 92.5% 45 of 61Consistent with a range of 77 to 100 percent or above, shown capped at 100 percent. 45 right · +7.25 method · +3.75 round · +0.41 underdog
2 James Lynch 81.2% 26 of 36Consistent with a range of 63 to 95 percent. 26 right · +2.75 method · +0.25 round · +0.24 underdog
3 DFS By The Numbers 80.9% 77 of 112Consistent with a range of 70 to 90 percent. 77 right · +10.25 method · +3.00 round · +0.35 underdog
4 KennyOkoyeMMA 79.3% 22 of 29Consistent with a range of 60 to 92 percent. 22 right · +0.75 method · +0.24 underdog
5 AJ 77.7% 75 of 109Consistent with a range of 67 to 87 percent. 75 right · +8.75 method · +0.50 round · +0.47 underdog
6 Bedtime MMA 77.2% 83 of 126Consistent with a range of 67 to 86 percent. 83 right · +11.25 method · +2.00 round · +1.01 underdog
7 Lucas Tracy 77.0% 21 of 32Consistent with a range of 57 to 93 percent. 21 right · +2.50 method · +0.75 round · +0.39 underdog
8 The MMA Guru 76.9% 66 of 99Consistent with a range of 66 to 87 percent. 66 right · +7.00 method · +2.25 round · +0.90 underdog
9 HopperoMMA 75.2% 58 of 92Consistent with a range of 63 to 86 percent. 58 right · +7.50 method · +3.50 round · +0.16 underdog
10 JakeGerberMMA 74.7% 60 of 90Consistent with a range of 63 to 85 percent. 60 right · +5.75 method · +1.25 round · +0.22 underdog
11 MMA JOEY 74.5% 18 of 27Consistent with a range of 53 to 91 percent. 18 right · +1.50 method · +0.50 round · +0.11 underdog
12 Half The Battle 71.0% 40 of 60Consistent with a range of 58 to 82 percent. 40 right · +2.25 method · +0.34 underdog
13 Michael Chiesa 70.2% 29 of 42Consistent with a range of 55 to 82 percent. 29 right · +0.25 method · +0.23 underdog
14 Mike Finch 68.8% 30 of 49Consistent with a range of 53 to 83 percent. 30 right · +3.25 method · +0.25 round · +0.23 underdog
15 MMAPREDICTIONGURU 68.2% 22 of 38Consistent with a range of 50 to 85 percent. 22 right · +3.25 method · +0.25 round · +0.43 underdog
16 We Want Picks 65.7% 79 of 121Consistent with a range of 57 to 74 percent. 79 right · +0.48 underdog
17 Michael Bisping 61.4% 12 of 20Consistent with a range of 40 to 80 percent. 12 right · +0.25 method · +0.03 underdog
18 Bookie Beatdown 59.7% 14 of 24Consistent with a range of 40 to 77 percent. 14 right · +0.25 method · +0.09 underdog

Listed, not ranked

These analysts have a published record but not yet enough resolved calls to hold a position. No Score is shown for them, because at these sample sizes the 100% cap starts doing the work — three of the records below would print a Score above the analyst ranked first, one of them a flat 100.0% off 13 correct calls in 16. That is an artefact of the cap, not a verdict, and it is the reason the floor is 20 in the first place. The record is the part that means something, so the record is what is shown. Ordered by how close each is to qualifying.

Adam Martin 14 of 17 17 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
Ben Duffy 13 of 16 16 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
Marcel Dorff 13 of 16 16 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
Demetrious Johnson 9 of 15 15 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
Keith Shillan 11 of 15 15 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
The W.A.D.E. Concept 5 of 7 7 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
Travis Herrick MMA 5 of 6 6 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position
Rashad Evans 4 of 5 5 resolved calls — 20 needed for a position

Reading the range. Every Score here is consistent with a range, not just the single number. The range is an approximation: a 95% Wilson interval on the analyst’s hit rate, scaled by the credit they earn per correct call — so you can reproduce it from the two numbers on their own row. A wider range means a smaller sample, not a worse analyst. Where the top of a range would exceed 100% it is shown at 100%, so a bar touching the right edge is a range that runs off the end of the scale rather than one that stops there. The range is drawn as a bar on wider screens and stated in full to screen readers; on a narrow screen that column is dropped and the record stays, because the record is what the range is computed from. The axis starts at 30% because no record on this board falls below it.

What this Score is not. It measures accuracy and how specific an analyst is willing to be — not whether they beat the market. In the UFC the betting favourite wins roughly two thirds of fights, so an analyst who simply picks favourites will score well. An analyst who beat the market can score below one who merely matched it. We do not currently publish a measure of edge, and this number should not be read as one.

Only resolved calls count. Draws, no-contests and cancelled bouts fall outside every figure here, and a record below 5 resolved calls shows no ratio at all. See every analyst's full scorecard.